World Research Institute (WRI) · Logistics Index · Flagship · monthly
World Logistics Index

World

September 2026 · vs August 2026 · forecast October 2026
Expansion · steady

World logistics activity is holding in modest expansion at 51.6 — broadly unchanged on the month.

51.6455055
Expansion · no change MoM
Breadth
8 / 10
in expansion
Monthly change
0.0
Coverage
9 mo
vs 9-mo range
50.5–51.9
short history
3-mo average
51.7
-0.1 vs avg
vs neutral
+1.6
Executive summary
  • Headline 51.6 (0.0 MoM) — expansion · steady.
  • Breadth — 8 of 10 sub-indexes in expansion (8 weighted + 2 diagnostic); 5 rising, 5 easing this month.
  • Business Volume led the move (+0.4); Transport Capacity the main drag (-1.3). The Logistics Cost diagnostic recorded the largest single move (+2.8); it carries zero weight in the composite.

Trajectory & forecast

9-month history
ActualForecast
vs last month
0.0
vs 3-mo avg
-0.1
vs a year ago
—
needs 12mo
9-mo range
50.5–51.9

At 51.6, World sits +0.2 above its 9-month average of 51.4. The October 2026 forecast points to 51.5 (-0.1 on the month).

Changes are computed from full-precision index values before rounding; readings shown at one decimal may not difference exactly. Trend classification uses the ±0.15 no-change band on unrounded values.

What changed — level vs momentum

Above the 50 no-change line; an even split of accelerating and slowing — 8 of 10 in expansion.

Recovering0
below 50 · rising
none
Accelerating5
above 50 · rising
Business VolumeTransportationLogistics CostWarehousingInventory
Deteriorating2
below 50 · falling
Transport CapacityWarehouse Capacity
Slowing3
above 50 · falling
Business SentimentEmploymentGoods for Sale
Magnitude of move vs prior month
Logistics Cost+2.8
Warehousing+0.4
Business Volume+0.4
Transportation+0.3
Inventory+0.1
Employment-0.1
Goods for Sale-0.2
Business Sentiment-0.2
Warehouse Capacity-0.3
Transport Capacity-1.3
Expanding
8 / 10
Rising
5 / 10
Months above 50
9
of 9
Range width
1.4
9-mo spread

What's driving it — sub-index decomposition

Profile
Weighted contribution above 50 — what builds the 51.6
Business Volume+0.70
Warehousing+0.57
Transportation+0.53
Goods for Sale+0.30
Business Sentiment+0.04
Employment+0.01
Warehouse Capacity-0.12
Transport Capacity-0.39

Business Volume and Transportation carry the most weight in the composite. This month Business Volume added the most to the move (+0.4), partly offset by Transport Capacity (-1.3). The Logistics Cost diagnostic recorded the largest single move (+2.8); it carries zero weight in the composite.

Full sub-index detail

value · weight · vs prior
Business Volume0.2253.2+0.4
Business Sentiment0.0850.5-0.2
Transportation0.1852.9+0.3
Transport Capacity0.1146.5-1.3
Employment0.0550.3-0.1
Logistics Cost0.0063.3+2.8
Warehousing0.1454.1+0.4
Warehouse Capacity0.0948.7-0.3
Inventory0.0051.7+0.1
Goods for Sale0.1352.3-0.2

Macro context & peers

30 of 42 economies in expansion
World map · 42 tracked economies shaded by index
contractionexpansion· 50 = no changetrackednot tracked

World is benchmarked against 42 tracked economies. At 51.6 it sits below the global median of 52.2; 30 of 42 economies are in expansion this month.

Regional landscape · September 2026
Where this sits in the global distribution · 42 economies
45
50
55
World 51.6
Box = interquartile range · line = median (52.2) · whiskers = min–max · gold ticks = regions.
Logistics momentum relative to economic size

Dots are coloured by region; economies above the dashed 50 line are expanding. Small open economies often sit high-and-left — strong logistics reads relative to GDP — reflecting trade-entrepôt roles.

Regions league · tap a row for its report
Momentum across 42 economies · 24 rose · 17 fell this month
Top gainers
Saudi Arabia52.0+3.7
India57.0+1.7
Vietnam59.1+1.5
South Korea63.3+1.2
Turkey54.6+0.9
Top decliners
Brazil49.5-0.9
France43.5-0.8
Russia44.6-0.5
Israel48.2-0.5
Full ranking — all 42 economies
#EconomyLGIMoM
1South Korea63.3+1.2
2Vietnam59.1+1.5
3India57.0+1.7
4Taiwan56.4+0.4
5Sweden55.9+0.4
6Nigeria55.7+0.9
7Singapore54.6+0.9
8Turkey54.6+0.9
9Denmark54.5+0.4
10Ireland53.8-0.1
11Poland53.5+0.5
12Netherlands53.3+0.3
13Malaysia53.2-0.1
14United States52.9-0.5
15Switzerland52.9-0.2
16Japan52.7+0.1
17Canada52.7-0.1
18Indonesia52.5+0.7
19Hong Kong52.5+0.4
20Thailand52.2-0.3
21Mexico52.2+0.1
22United Arab Emirates52.2+0.1
23Argentina52.1+0.3
24Spain52.00.0
25Saudi Arabia52.0+3.7
26Norway50.7-0.1
27Italy50.5-0.5
28Morocco50.4+0.1
29China50.1+0.1
30Austria50.1+0.1
31Germany49.7+0.1
32Brazil49.5-0.9
33Algeria49.5-0.4
34Australia49.0-0.2
35United Kingdom49.0-0.3
36South Africa48.8+0.4
37Egypt48.2+0.6
38Israel48.2-0.5
39Philippines48.1-0.5
40Belgium45.9-0.3
41Russia44.6-0.5
42France43.5-0.8

How to read this report · methodology

Diffusion scale. 50 = no change vs the prior month. Above 50 signals expansion, below signals contraction; distance from 50 measures signal strength (53 is a firmer expansion than 50.5), while the month-on-month change measures the pace, not the level.

Headline. A weighted average of 10 sub-indexes — 8 weighted into the composite (weights at right) and 2 (Logistics Cost, Inventory) tracked as 0.00-weight diagnostics. Headline = 50 + the sum of weighted contributions, so the decomposition reconciles exactly.

Why track it. As a diffusion index it turns ahead of hard trade and output statistics, which lag one to two months; each edition publishes the latest completed month plus a forecast for the next, while official data is still weeks away.

Seasonality. Reported NSA (not seasonally adjusted). To strip calendar effects (Lunar New Year, mid-year lulls, Q4 peak shipping), watch the 3-month average rather than a single month-on-month move; year-on-year comparisons become available once 12 months of history accrue.

Coverage. 9 months of history for this series. The headline and percentile refer to the latest completed month; the forecast month is the forward projection published with the edition, always drawn dashed.

Aggregation. Regions and the World are GDP-weighted across 42 economies (US$107.01T, 2025 base) — larger economies carry proportionally more weight, so an aggregate reflects the economic scale of the activity it measures.

Sub-index weights
Business Volume0.22
Transportation0.18
Warehousing0.14
Goods for Sale0.13
Transport Capacity0.11
Warehouse Capacity0.09
Business Sentiment0.08
Employment0.05
Logistics Cost0.00diag
Inventory0.00diag
World Research Institute (WRI) computes and publishes the Logistics Index. 50 = no change vs the prior month. Each edition reports the latest completed month with a forward projection for the next. September 2026 edition, published October 2026. MethodologyCite — Source: World Logistics Index, World Research Institute (WRI), worldresearch.org (September 2026).