World Research Institute (WRI) · Logistics Growth Index (LGI) · Flagship · monthly
Logistics Index

Europe

October 2026 · vs September 2026 (revised) · forecast November 2026
No change · edging up

Europe logistics activity is at the no-change line at 50.0.

50.0455055
No change · rose 0.2 MoM
Breadth
4 / 8
weighted, in expansion
Monthly change
+0.2
Coverage
10 mo
vs 10-mo range
49.7–50.5
short history
3-mo average
49.8
+0.1 vs avg
vs world
-1.2
Executive summary
  • Headline 50.0 (+0.2 MoM) — no change · edging up.
  • Breadth — 4 of 8 weighted sub-indexes in expansion; 4 rising, 4 easing this month (the 2 zero-weight diagnostics are reported separately).
  • Transportation led the move (+2.0); Warehouse Capacity the main drag (-2.5). The Logistics Cost diagnostic recorded the largest single move (-5.8); it carries zero weight in the composite.

Trajectory & forecast

10-month history
ActualForecast
vs last month
+0.2
vs 3-mo avg
+0.1
vs a year ago
—
needs 12mo
10-mo range
49.7–50.5

At 50.0, Europe sits in line with its 10-month average of 50.0. The November 2026 forecast points to 49.2 (-0.8 on the month).

Changes are computed from full-precision index values before rounding; readings shown at one decimal may not difference exactly. A move shown as 0.0 is treated as unchanged.

What changed — level vs momentum

At the 50 no-change line; as many sub-indexes rising as easing (4 each) — 4 of 8 weighted in expansion.

Recovering3
below 50 · rising
TransportationTransport CapacityEmployment
Accelerating1
above 50 · rising
Business Sentiment
Deteriorating1
below 50 · falling
Warehouse Capacity
Slowing3
above 50 · falling
Business VolumeWarehousingGoods for Sale
Magnitude of move vs prior month
Business Sentiment+2.7
Transportation+2.0
Inventory (diag.)+1.8
Employment+0.7
Transport Capacity+0.6
Goods for Sale-0.1
Business Volume-0.1
Warehousing-1.3
Warehouse Capacity-2.5
Logistics Cost (diag.)-5.8
Expanding
4 / 8
weighted
Rising
4 / 8
weighted
Months above 50
3
of 10
Range width
0.8
10-mo spread

What's driving it — sub-index decomposition

Profile
Weighted contribution above 50 — what builds the 50.0
Business Volume+0.31
Warehousing+0.24
Business Sentiment+0.20
Goods for Sale+0.06
Employment-0.03
Transportation-0.07
Warehouse Capacity-0.28
Transport Capacity-0.47

Business Volume and Transportation carry the most weight in the composite. This month Transportation added the most to the move (+2.0), partly offset by Warehouse Capacity (-2.5). The Logistics Cost diagnostic recorded the largest single move (-5.8); it carries zero weight in the composite.

Full sub-index detail

weight · value · vs prior
Business Volume0.2251.4-0.1
Business Sentiment0.0852.5+2.7
Transportation0.1849.6+2.0
Transport Capacity0.1145.7+0.6
Employment0.0549.5+0.7
Logistics Costdiagnostic · zero weight0.0055.5-5.8
Warehousing0.1451.7-1.3
Warehouse Capacity0.0946.9-2.5
Inventorydiagnostic · zero weight0.0050.5+1.8
Goods for Sale0.1350.5-0.1

Macro context & peers

27 of 42 economies in expansion
World map · 42 tracked economies shaded by index
contractionexpansion· 50 = no changetrackednot tracked

Europe is benchmarked against 42 tracked economies. At 50.0 it sits below the global median of 50.5; 27 of 42 economies are in expansion this month.

Regional landscape · October 2026
Where this sits in the global distribution · 42 economies
45
50
55
Europe 50.0
Box = interquartile range · line = median (50.5) · whiskers = min–max · gold ticks = regions.
Logistics momentum relative to economic size

Dots are coloured by region; economies above the dashed 50 line are expanding. Small open economies often sit high-and-left — strong logistics reads relative to GDP — reflecting trade-entrepôt roles.

Peers league · tap a row for its report
Momentum across 42 economies · 14 rose · 28 fell this month
Top gainers
Russia50.6+5.2
Belgium50.5+4.3
France47.9+2.8
Israel50.6+2.1
Top decliners
South Korea50.6-11.8
Vietnam52.1-6.7
Turkey49.2-5.4
Singapore50.4-4.2
Italy46.6-3.9
Full ranking — all 42 economies
#EconomyLGIMoM
1Taiwan55.0-0.2
2India53.6-3.4
3United States53.3-0.1
4Indonesia53.0-0.6
5Nigeria53.0-2.0
6Sweden52.9-3.0
7Denmark52.8-1.7
8Ireland52.8-0.5
9Hong Kong52.6+0.1
10Saudi Arabia52.5+1.1
11United Kingdom52.2+3.2
12Vietnam52.1-6.7
13Malaysia52.1-0.2
14Austria51.7+1.0
15Netherlands51.2-2.0
16Japan51.0+1.3
17Morocco50.9-0.2
18Israel50.6+2.1
19Russia50.6+5.2
20South Korea50.6-11.8
21Thailand50.6-0.5
22Belgium50.5+4.3
23Singapore50.4-4.2
24Poland50.3-3.2
25China50.3+0.2
26Canada50.2-2.1
27South Africa50.2+0.7
28Switzerland50.0-2.9
29Algeria49.8+0.7
30Mexico49.6-3.0
31Germany49.5-0.9
32Egypt49.4-1.2
33Australia49.4+0.6
34Spain49.4-3.1
35United Arab Emirates49.2-3.3
36Turkey49.2-5.4
37Brazil48.9-1.5
38Argentina48.4-3.7
39France47.9+2.8
40Philippines47.8+0.5
41Norway47.5-3.2
42Italy46.6-3.9

How to read this report · methodology

Diffusion scale. 50 = no change vs the prior month. Above 50 signals expansion, below signals contraction; distance from 50 measures signal strength (53 is a firmer expansion than 50.5), while the month-on-month change shows how far the reading moved, not the level.

Headline. A weighted average of 8 sub-indexes (weights at right); 2 more (Logistics Cost, Inventory) are tracked alongside as zero-weight diagnostics and do not enter the composite. Headline = 50 + the sum of weighted contributions, so the decomposition reconciles exactly.

Why track it. As a diffusion index it turns ahead of hard trade and output statistics, which lag one to two months; each edition publishes the latest completed month plus a forecast for the next, while official data is still weeks away.

Seasonality. Reported NSA (not seasonally adjusted). To strip calendar effects (Lunar New Year, mid-year lulls, Q4 peak shipping), watch the 3-month average rather than a single month-on-month move; year-on-year comparisons become available once 12 months of history accrue.

Coverage. 10 months of history for this series. The headline refers to the latest completed month; the forecast month is the forward projection published with the edition, always drawn dashed.

Aggregation. Regions and the World are GDP-weighted across 42 economies (US$107.01T, 2025 base) — larger economies carry proportionally more weight, so an aggregate reflects the economic scale of the activity it measures.

Sub-index weights
Business Volume0.22
Transportation0.18
Warehousing0.14
Goods for Sale0.13
Transport Capacity0.11
Warehouse Capacity0.09
Business Sentiment0.08
Employment0.05
Logistics Cost0.00diag
Inventory0.00diag
World Research Institute (WRI) computes and publishes the Logistics Growth Index (LGI). 50 = no change vs the prior month. Each edition reports the latest completed month with a forward projection for the next. October 2026 edition, published November 2026. Research for the October 2026 readings closed on 3 November 2026. MethodologyCite — Source: Europe Logistics Index, World Research Institute (WRI), worldresearch.org (October 2026).